Search found 1720 matches

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by travelhound
Sat Oct 20, 2018 8:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will we ever see an Airbus 380 stretch ?
Replies: 115
Views: 15485

Re: Will we ever see an Airbus 380 stretch ?

Considering QANTAS are thinking about using the 787-9 instead of the A380 on the SYD-DFW route, range is just one part of the equation. I'd suggest the capacity/frequency equation and the science the sits behind it is of far more relevance than the CASM numbers of a projected A380NEO alone. For argu...

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by travelhound
Tue Oct 16, 2018 8:53 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Qantas future longhaul routes
Replies: 51
Views: 6451

Re: Qantas future longhaul routes

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf ... 5670350104
-->

How about increased frequencies on existing routes?

This could be a useful link!

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf ... 5670350104

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by travelhound
Tue Oct 16, 2018 5:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Data: scrap value of an A380
Replies: 27
Views: 6259

Re: Data: scrap value of an A380

$6 million per engine is well pedigreed engines and nacelles! Not for power by the hour. Interior refurbished is costly:. $40 million per this link: https://www.businessinsider.com/airbus-a380-superjumbo-scrapped-for-parts-history-2018-6 The issue for the A380 is that it will be easy to swamp the u...

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by travelhound
Sun Oct 14, 2018 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 443
Views: 107693

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

Is Airbus not being as aggressive or are airlines not able to get delivery spots from Airbus because of full order books? Out of all the wide body aircraft on the market the A330 should have the most near term delivery slots available. I suspect Boeing is being very aggressive with 787 pricing, whi...

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by travelhound
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 777X House Color?
Replies: 16
Views: 6213

Re: 777X House Color?

The red is no more unfortunately. A friend of mine in sales at Boeing got a screaming deal on some maroon 777-X polo shirts though :D I really wanted one but they're all gone already I want a Dreamliner bike: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DosYEJZXgAEt5FP.jpg:large Ref: https://twitter.com/BoeingCEO/s...

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by travelhound
Thu Oct 11, 2018 8:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which aircraft has the advantage - A350-900ULR v 772LR.
Replies: 14
Views: 4311

Re: Which aircraft has the advantage - A350-900ULR v 772LR.

https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=766921 In this thread Sunrisevalley states: "From a flight plan ORD-AKL for a 77L with a TOW of about 318t the fuel burn at cruise was 100.171t for 15-hours". This works out at 6.65 tonne per hour compared to the 5.8 tonne per hour for the A3...

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by travelhound
Thu Oct 11, 2018 8:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which aircraft has the advantage - A350-900ULR v 772LR.
Replies: 14
Views: 4311

Which aircraft has the advantage - A350-900ULR v 772LR.

I just read the Flight Global article about SIA re-entering the Singapore-Newark route, the longest flown route in the world (8,285nm) with the A350-900ULR . The article makes mentions of the QATAR Doha-Auckland route (7,848nm) flown with the 7772LR as it is currently the longest airline route. In c...

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by travelhound
Thu Oct 11, 2018 2:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse
Replies: 346
Views: 51075

Re: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse

Please post better numbers. It is easy to keep saying those aren't good enough. However, they are within a few percent of proprietary numbers I've seen. For a decade we've noted the CASK break even is when oil hits $150/bbl. The T900 was burning more fuel on long missions than the GP7200 before the...

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by travelhound
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Migrating birds declare war on Cseries/A220
Replies: 35
Views: 11587

Re: Migrating birds declare war on Cseries/A220

The airline confirms that on September 24, an aircraft had hit the birds shortly before landing from Vienna to Riga (YL-CSB). The collision occurred over the Gulf of Riga during the BT432 flight. After the incident, the airplane continued to land at Riga airport in accordance with standard security...

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by travelhound
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Migrating birds declare war on Cseries/A220
Replies: 35
Views: 11587

Re: Migrating birds declare war on Cseries/A220

Lot of migrating going on here in last days- cranes, geese, swans, possibly cows from Finland as well God help the aircraft that colides with a cow at 4000ft ! :lol: Thank god it was just cows. Who knows what will start happening in the world if it were pigs flying at that altitude! You are more li...

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by travelhound
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse
Replies: 346
Views: 51075

Re: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse

There is no evidence to suggest that the B779 will burn less per seat than an A380. The A380 is a 12 ton per hour aircraft and in terms of floor space, it is a 900+ seater in all Y configuration. The B779 will only burn 12% less than the B77W ending up in the high 7 tons per hours as a max 600 seat...

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by travelhound
Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse
Replies: 346
Views: 51075

Re: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse

It is a chance for all 3 parties to end the A380 disaster. RR can close a production line and focus resources on the newer engines, Airbus can close the production line and gets room for at least another A320 series line. EK can downsize the fleet with 777s instead of A380s. That makes perfect sens...

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by travelhound
Mon Oct 08, 2018 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse
Replies: 346
Views: 51075

Re: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse

I find it interesting that EA has basically said that they're not in the running. They haven't formally closed their program down, but it sounds as if they are not interested in taking more orders. ....and we have to ask ourselves how the market will respond to an engine OEM stating they are no lon...

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by travelhound
Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse
Replies: 346
Views: 51075

Re: Bloomberg: A380-Saving Emirates Deal Is Stalled Due to Engine Impasse

If they cancel.the A380 program, they shouldn't.it prior to the new CEO starts his job.

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by travelhound
Mon Oct 08, 2018 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus , just stretch the A320NEO a few rows, 200 seats.
Replies: 77
Views: 11667

Re: Airbus , just stretch the A320NEO a few rows, 200 seats.

Left field thinking. QANTAS recently stated they could replace their domestic fleet of 75 737-800's with a combination of A220's and MOM aircraft. As such we have and 172 seat aircraft potentially being replaced by a substantially smaller and larger aircraft at the same time. This could suggest the ...

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by travelhound
Sun Oct 07, 2018 8:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus , just stretch the A320NEO a few rows, 200 seats.
Replies: 77
Views: 11667

Re: Airbus , just stretch the A320NEO a few rows, 200 seats.

An A320.5 would have seat costs in the range of ~20% plus less than the current A320CEO. I suspect such a delta would destroy the value of the classic aircraft. Considering aircraft are typically the highest value assets within an airline any action by Airbus that devalues their customers aeroplanes...

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by travelhound
Sun Oct 07, 2018 6:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2018
Replies: 272
Views: 31034

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2018

Which they won’t do with a 789, they would use an A332, if PER sorts itself out there’s probably a few routes QF could add there. It's already been reported how close QF came to launching PER-JB with an A330 but then 'pulled the plug' due to PER's intransigence over T1 vs T3/T4. https://www.ausbt.c...

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by travelhound
Sat Oct 06, 2018 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: ET stops to accept deliveries for A350's and ordering 12 more B787 instead
Replies: 50
Views: 17289

Re: Rumour: ET stops to accept deliveries for A350's and ordering 12 more B787 instead

Interesting if true. What does ET plan to do with the existing A350s then? I mean, I could understand it from an operational point of view if ET wanted to standardize on a fleet of 787/777s, but I don't hear of other operators complaining about A350 performance. In fact, CX, QR, and SQ have said th...

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by travelhound
Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2018
Replies: 272
Views: 31034

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2018

VirginFlyer wrote:
VHZNE wrote:
QF 747 OEI positioned to HKG yesterday for a D Check.

So there goes the idea that the 747-400ERs will be retired as their heavy maintenance comes due.

V/F

Is a d check on the 744 required every six or eight years. These aircraft are 2002/2003 vintage

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by travelhound
Sat Oct 06, 2018 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First 717 Being Scrapped
Replies: 31
Views: 9495

Re: First 717 Being Scrapped

I think it gives an airline a parts pool. For instance a refurb if a part may take six weeks. Having a parts pool means parts Froman aeroplane re simply swapped out with a part from the parts pool. The part removed from the plane is sent out for refurb and than added back into the parts pool. Delta ...

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by travelhound
Fri Oct 05, 2018 10:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: ET stops to accept deliveries for A350's and ordering 12 more B787 instead
Replies: 50
Views: 17289

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

Lately Boeing Capital has been more than happy to finance Boeing aircraft for Boeing customers. The EXIM issues may not be as relevant as they were 4-5 years ago. Boeing is producing plenty of cash these days. The financial advantages of building 14 787's per month may be such that Boeing is willing...

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by travelhound
Fri Oct 05, 2018 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MAS 787 MOU with Boeing lapses
Replies: 29
Views: 6171

Re: MAS 787 MOU with Boeing lapses

The most serious issue facing MH is Air Asia. MH need to adopt a model like NZ's to reduce costs and compete with Air Asia meaningfully while offering the full service long haul product. They have not achieved this. I can't for the life of me understand why it is taking so long for MH to wake up to...

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by travelhound
Wed Oct 03, 2018 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair also in trouble?
Replies: 40
Views: 11646

Re: Icelandair also in trouble?

If we look at QANTAS five years ago, it was a very liquid airline and produced cash on a year to year basis, but was still very close to contravening it's debt covenants. Splitting hairs, but covenants are funder specific (though they are often the same), unless a company has only one source of fin...

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by travelhound
Wed Oct 03, 2018 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair also in trouble?
Replies: 40
Views: 11646

Re: Icelandair also in trouble?

If we look at QANTAS five years ago, it was a very liquid airline and produced cash on a year to year basis, but was still very close to contravening it's debt covenants. In their instance the problem wasn't it's profitability, but the conditions that it agreed to debt and when that debt was due. If...

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-->

KLDC10 wrote:
Is the recently unveiled First Air livery the one which will be adopted? https://worldairlinenews.com/2017/10/21 ... -and-logo/


Amazing how comfortable those old economy class seats look!

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by travelhound
Sun Sep 30, 2018 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 Production/Delivery Thread - 2018
Replies: 983
Views: 248356

Re: 787 Production/Delivery Thread - 2018

I have a question re G-CKWN. When I saw it land this afternoon at LGW on it's delivery flight, the engines looked distinctly not new - ie, instead of the usual metallic blue hue that new engine exhausts have they were a sort of pale brown rust colour ! Has this aircraft been fitted with older rewor...

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by travelhound
Mon Sep 03, 2018 8:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29752

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

At the recent EOY financial results meeting Qantas suggested they could use a A220/MOM combination to replace their fleet of 737’s. This could suggest the market would prefer a relatively large spread in aircraft seating capacity when compared to the economic options available today. If I remember c...

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by travelhound
Sat Sep 01, 2018 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018
Replies: 630
Views: 55391

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018

I'd send them by air express. I hate waiting!

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by travelhound
Sat Sep 01, 2018 6:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

The problem with the VA share registry doesn't revolve around ownership, but the veto rights of the Virgin Group which allows it to have unrepresentative control of the airline through the licensing agreements. In effect a single shareholder with 51% of the stock woulld not be able to influence cont...

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by travelhound
Wed Aug 29, 2018 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia reports underlying $109m profit, converts 10 737MAX8 to 10 737MAX10
Replies: 24
Views: 4547

Re: Virgin Australia reports $109m profit, orders MAX10

Interesting that the VA deffered tax credits were of an amount that if we go back 2 years probably represented half of the value of the company.

Just goes to show how bad the VA finacials actually we're!

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by travelhound
Wed Aug 29, 2018 9:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia reports underlying $109m profit, converts 10 737MAX8 to 10 737MAX10
Replies: 24
Views: 4547

Re: Virgin Australia reports $109m profit, orders MAX10

Maybe they will use the MAX10 for trunk routes. Considering it will have similar operating costs to the current 737-800's the extra capacity could quickly equate to all profit.

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by travelhound
Thu Aug 23, 2018 9:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas PER-LHR reporting extremely high load factors, now QF’s most profitable route
Replies: 145
Views: 27362

Re: Qantas PER-LHR reporting extremely high load factors, now QF’s most profitable route

Hang on....what happened to all those here on a-net that insisted ULR flights are a tough call to make any money on at all ? That was my first thought as well. lol ULH is still going to be risky and the price of fuel will have a massive effect on the profitability of such routes. But sometimes when...

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by travelhound
Tue Aug 21, 2018 9:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I believe their guidance was for $1.55-1.6B. If it was ~$1.8B they would have advised the market because that’s quite material. Still a record though. I wonder where their critics will be at because they can’t blame oil prices. Because the news will definitely attract click bait and anti-corporate ...

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by travelhound
Tue Aug 21, 2018 12:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I suspect a profit around $1.8b. I can't see them ordering anymore planes. Their CAPEX for the next three years has been set with the 787-9's to 2020 and than the Jetstar A321LR's from there onwards. Aircraft upgrades announced. 744's leaving the fleet in 2020. All of the lounges have been upgraded...

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by travelhound
Tue Aug 21, 2018 10:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I suspect a profit around $1.8b. I can't see them ordering anymore planes. Their CAPEX for the next three years has been set with the 787-9's to 2020 and than the Jetstar A321LR's from there onwards. Aircraft upgrades announced. 744's leaving the fleet in 2020. All of the lounges have been upgraded....

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by travelhound
Sun Aug 19, 2018 10:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

Fragmentation is all well and good but where do the aircraft come from? The current order book has 10x 789s to replace 10x 744s with little slack left elsewhere in the fleet. They currently have about 18,250 widebody seats and with the current plans that will drop to less than 17,000 seats. Either ...

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by travelhound
Sat Aug 18, 2018 11:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

^^ Re post 329. Would you throw in possibly some A321LR's" A complex question. I see A321NEO markets as being an extension of the Australian domestic market rather than true international flying. Admittedly, a bit odd considering hiw the Asian market works. I suspect the A321NEO would be well ...

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by travelhound
Sat Aug 18, 2018 9:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 57289

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I do think as more 789 are delivered we’ll more fragmentation of QF markets, as the 744 capacity is replaced, and growth continues in markets. Fragmentation is all well and good but where do the aircraft come from? The current order book has 10x 789s to replace 10x 744s with little slack left elsew...

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by travelhound
Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated
Replies: 129
Views: 19248

Re: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated

Why's that? They will have the 787-9s that are replacing them in the fleet by then, and will be looking beyond that to the Sunrise aircraft for future expansion. Alan Joyce is no fan of quads, so it would have to be a pretty compelling case to keep them on longer than 2020. Simply, I am skeptical o...

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by travelhound
Sun Aug 12, 2018 10:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian reports FY financial results and other developments
Replies: 27
Views: 3679

Re: Ethiopian reports FY financial results and other developments

Considering Ethiopia's proximity to the UAE and Qatar, their success and subsequent expansion suggest there is still latent demand for carriers in the region. My initial thoughts about the misfortunes of Etihad revolved around the ME3 reaching a structural market ceiling. I think I may have to chang...

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by travelhound
Tue Aug 07, 2018 12:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 443
Views: 107693

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

There is a difference between firm orders and the MOIs, LOIs and options everybody gets so exited about at the airshows. I think not everything is confirmed from last years show in Paris yet. That's not the issue. Let's quote the press release Airbus put out at the end of the show. "During the...

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by travelhound
Wed Aug 01, 2018 9:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737-10MAX serves a different role to the A321NEO?
Replies: 50
Views: 9511

Re: 737-10MAX serves a different role to the A321NEO?

QANTAS have stated they are looking at putting a premium economy product into their new Jetstar A321NEO aircraft. The reason, in a full economy class configuration rhe aircraft won't have the range for key markets such as sydney-bali (3240nm), etc. The 737-10 is simply not capable of flying this rou...

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by travelhound
Tue Jul 31, 2018 7:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20831

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

If you start a cleaning business where its only assets are a car (on finance) and sundry cleaning materials, does that mean the business becomes bankrupt if the government allows the car to be fully depreciated in the year it was purchased. Or because the car has a book value of $1.00 in and a finan...

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by travelhound
Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20831

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

I refer to some of my earlier posts about indirect costs. The linked CPA article discusses the use of the time-and-materials method for long-term contracts. If Boeing has entered into contracts with a its suppliers using this method, the cost of a part would be based upon a prorata of the facility c...

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by travelhound
Tue Jul 31, 2018 12:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20831

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

It would not reduce liabilities, so the balance sum stays the same. It would boost the negative equity to somewhere near 25 billion USD, or somewhere near 28 billion if one includes the tooling and so on. I think you do not understand it. The money is spent and it was either coming out of the free ...

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by travelhound
Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737-10MAX serves a different role to the A321NEO?
Replies: 50
Views: 9511

Re: 737-10MAX serves a different role to the A321NEO?

Thanks for all the replies, I want to clarify I am purely looking at this as the -10 vs A321, I know there are more factors at play. It does seem like the -10 is boeings answer for its existing 737 customers who need to compete vs the a321. I hope its a CASM king over short/medium routes so there i...

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by travelhound
Sat Jul 28, 2018 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volotea 717, how long?
Replies: 28
Views: 5375

Re: Volotea 717, how long?

With regards to QF I see an ideal domestic fleet revolving around an MOM and the A220

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by travelhound
Sat Jul 28, 2018 8:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volotea 717, how long?
Replies: 28
Views: 5375

Re: Volotea 717, how long?

The advantage of the717 over new build aircraft are the capital costs and its size in the market. For example QF use the 717 for regional flying in Western Australia and Queensland, where the routes are relatively long and thin and demand often only requires a single return trip per day. In these in...

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by travelhound
Sat Jul 28, 2018 6:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Volotea 717, how long?
Replies: 28
Views: 5375

Re: Volotea 717, how long?

A couple of years ago when QF were looking foe more 717's they stated the aircraft was in hot demand with the purchase price ranging from $10-13 million.

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by travelhound
Thu Jul 26, 2018 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20831

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

Just because Boeing has very low debt levels it doesn't mean Deferred Production Costs are paid for. What the heck does this even mean??? It is "deferred production cost". I am sure there is a clear definition of "deferred cost" on the Internet. You were the one posing the quest...

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