Search found 1794 matches

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by travelhound
Tue Jan 15, 2019 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Stowaway bird found on Singapore Airlines flight
Replies: 24
Views: 3247

Re: Stowaway bird found on Singapore Airlines flight

How many longhaul flying, free-cabin-roaming, jet-setting birds have there been in recorded history? Whatever, its surely SQ's first such pax, and in premium class too. Deserves at least a commemorating plaque/certificate. And a mention in the Singapore Book of Records (maybe even Guinness too) for...

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by travelhound
Tue Jan 15, 2019 8:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 229
Views: 31651

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

My post was referring to an upgrade to the 787-10 with new / updated engines sometime in the future. When this does happen the 787-10 will be a more capable aircraft capable of flying more of the A350's core routes.

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by travelhound
Mon Jan 14, 2019 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 229
Views: 31651

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

.......there will always be underlying demand for passengers and freight and as such the aircraft that can move that demand the most efficiently will have an advantage in the market place. A 787-10 with more range is just going to make this aircraft more capable and as a consequence suitable for a b...

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 13, 2019 10:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog
Replies: 138
Views: 24550

Re: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog

But you dont need to commit a A380 to any route year round. A lot of routes can be supported by an A380 year round. Others can be rotated with a 777, 787, or A350 while the A380 flys to other seasonal destinations. When you have to crew the plane, allow for parts and servicing and organise landing ...

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 13, 2019 7:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2019
Replies: 257
Views: 30047

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2019

The downfall of EK in PER is very hard to watch. Only a few years ago they were by far the biggest player on PER-Europe. I would have thought the demise of EY services would give the second daily flight a lifeline, but I guess not. It’s fantastic that SQ has managed to remain at 4 x daily - I guess...

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 13, 2019 7:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog
Replies: 138
Views: 24550

Re: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog

This post is from the Australian Aviation thread. Interesting piece regarding AA/QF JV, looking at this there are multiple routes being looked at, probably seasonal https://twitter.com/xJonNYC/status/1083871007335768064 ....and this is why the A380 had been such a hard machine to make money with. T...

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 13, 2019 8:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog
Replies: 138
Views: 24550

Re: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog

This post is from the Australian Aviation thread. Interesting piece regarding AA/QF JV, looking at this there are multiple routes being looked at, probably seasonal https://twitter.com/xJonNYC/status/1083871007335768064 ....and this is why the A380 had been such a hard machine to make money with. Th...

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by travelhound
Sat Jan 12, 2019 1:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How Many A 330 Neo's Will Ultimately be Sold?
Replies: 74
Views: 8294

Re: How Many A 330 Neo's Will Ultimately be Sold?

I suspect the 787 will undergo continuous improvement with an upgrade in the 2025-2028 year period.

I was fascinated a poster mentioning the replacement cycle for the 787. In reality it could be getting close to being yesterday's technology.

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by travelhound
Sat Jan 12, 2019 2:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How Many A 330 Neo's Will Ultimately be Sold?
Replies: 74
Views: 8294

Re: How Many A 330 Neo's Will Ultimately be Sold?

If we look at airlines like HNA they purchased both the A330 and 787. For them the purchase decision was based upon their own internal growth targets rather than the economics of one plane over the other. If we look back at deliveries of the A330 and 787 over the last ten years, they were primarily ...

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by travelhound
Fri Jan 11, 2019 9:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Malaysia Airlines A380s - Is it the end?
Replies: 54
Views: 12401

Re: Malaysia Airlines A380s - Is it the end?

Only BA for Heathrow slot issues and Qantas for capacity needed he A380. AF and LH never needed a flying whale, a 77W or 748 would have been enough. QF don't need additional 380, they still have 8 on order which is highly unlikely to be delivered. So why buying 2nd hand from MH I think QF could do ...

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by travelhound
Fri Jan 11, 2019 8:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 231
Views: 31599

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Hey RJMAZ.... QF group doesn't operate ATRs... And never has. The Virgin Australia group however does. You obviously meant QFLink Q400s plus the remaining Q200s and Q300s, and maybe even the QFLink 717s and Network Fokkers and A320s as well? You present an interesting scenario, however I cannot see...

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by travelhound
Fri Jan 11, 2019 4:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Malaysia Airlines A380s - Is it the end?
Replies: 54
Views: 12401

Re: Malaysia Airlines A380s - Is it the end?

I could see QF picking up these birds. Ironically, if Airbus decide to end the A380 line I could see these aircraft increasing in value (from a very low starting point). Airlines who want to maintain their fleets of A380's into the late 2020's may see value in these newer aircraft as a source of bac...

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by travelhound
Thu Jan 10, 2019 10:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 600
Views: 152108

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

What drives the huge uptick in the Dec numbers from the OEM's? Is it internally driven i.e sales staff working extra hard to get orders in or is it customer driven i.e need to get orders in before year end etc? Or a bit of both? If it is internally driven is it not risky to leave it so late and ris...

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by travelhound
Wed Jan 09, 2019 10:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing unveils new version of radical wing design
Replies: 141
Views: 25612

Re: Boeing unveils new version of radical wing design

The General Arrangement of this wing /aircraft design has been around for quite a long time. What has changed is that the aircraft can fly at Mach 0.8 and the design now uses a folding wing extension.

Will be interesting to see of this design ever materialises.

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by travelhound
Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s
Replies: 90
Views: 37364

Re: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s

There are probably quite a few people who would love to see the end of the first in service plane.

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 06, 2019 4:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 231
Views: 31599

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

I don't think the QF A380's will be going anywhere soon. The book value of QF's fleet is some where around $4.2 billion (from memory). The A380's represent something like 25% of the value of these assets ($$1.1 billion). QF had problems operating these aircraft in the early 2010's as they were loosi...

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 06, 2019 1:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 231
Views: 31599

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

In the last five years the cost of fuel has been relatively low. I'd suggest this has given airlines the opportunity to retain older aircraft (instead of buy new) and repair their balance sheets. There are quite a few airlines that have been delaying the purchase of new aircraft. I'd suggest they wi...

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by travelhound
Sun Jan 06, 2019 12:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B777-9 future prospects?
Replies: 231
Views: 31599

Re: B777-9 future prospects?

Interestingly, a good majority of current 77W operators have not yet ordered the A350. This could suggest the A350 sits a little below the 77W and as such is not a direct replacement.

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by travelhound
Sat Jan 05, 2019 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 41
Views: 9896

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

I read an article about flight testing starting in February as well. I suspect there will be at least two weeks for ground testing.

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by travelhound
Fri Jan 04, 2019 5:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Data: scrap value of an A380
Replies: 41
Views: 9681

Re: Data: scrap value of an A380

I think its fair to say that the value in these two aircraft is in their ability to service the remaining fleet of A380's as they come up to their twelve year engine and air frame checks. I'd suggest just having two sets of landing gear to cycle through the 85 aircraft that will reach twelve years o...

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by travelhound
Thu Jan 03, 2019 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2019
Replies: 257
Views: 30047

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2019

AJ has said SIN-LHR would remain once the direct SYD and MEL to LHR begin, basically for those pax who will never consider flying non stop to Europe. There is also the issue that the non-stop birds will be premium heavy. Unless QF are prepared to give up a significant Y market, they need to keep th...

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by travelhound
Wed Jan 02, 2019 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2019
Replies: 257
Views: 30047

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - January 2019

I suspect on one hand the 747's are under utilised and on the other hand the 787 will have very high utilisation (i.e. 15 hours per day).

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by travelhound
Wed Jan 02, 2019 11:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't LEVEL expanded the way Norwegian has?
Replies: 48
Views: 8110

Re: Why hasn't LEVEL expanded the way Norwegian has?

LEVEL is smart about their expansions, unlike Norwegian. LEVEL only serves routes that they believe are profitable, unlike Norwegian, who operates flights just because they can. In other words IAG are transferring routes from BA and Iberia that are currently marginal to their new LCC Level which ha...

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by travelhound
Wed Jan 02, 2019 6:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 191
Views: 23282

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I suspect with advances in technology the efficiency delta of a MOM over an A321 to be in the range of ~5-10% on longer stage lengths On shorter range lengths the delta between the two aircraft may decrease, but an MOM would still hold an advantage because of its higher revenue opportunity (premium ...

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by travelhound
Tue Jan 01, 2019 7:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s
Replies: 90
Views: 37364

Re: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s

It could be the case that scrapping these two aircraft will allow for a more liquidity supply of replacement parts making it easier for second tier airlines tomoperate the type. If we go back to when QANTAS starting operating the A380 they were reporting A380 specific start-up costs of $50-80 millio...

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by travelhound
Tue Jan 01, 2019 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s
Replies: 90
Views: 37364

Re: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s

SQ probably paid an amount to Dr Peters on return for maintenance and refurb. This amount could be added to the value of the funds.

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by travelhound
Mon Dec 31, 2018 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s
Replies: 90
Views: 37364

Re: Dr. Peters begins scrapping of two ex-SIA A380s

Thanks for the info. For some reason, I thought they did a sale/lease back with Dr Peters. This document says they paid 154 and 156 million respectively for the aircraft. https://www.nuertingen.versicherung/eh-content/pages/6430/files/dr_peters/Kurz-Info-DS140.pdf Should get 45 million for the airf...

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by travelhound
Mon Dec 31, 2018 9:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm
Replies: 302
Views: 48994

Re: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm

Agree with Newbie, they are all A321 variations. I wonder if they can keep an XLR mostly the same too. It's a compromise between optimal configuration and simplicity/commonality. It seems Airbus has choosen for maximal commonality so far. I'd suggest if/when the A321XLR comes to market the LR and X...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 29, 2018 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RR delivers 2000th Trent 700
Replies: 33
Views: 4113

Re: RR delivers 2000th Trent 700

You'd think the engines would be sent to Airbus / Boeing on consignment and handed over to the customer on delivery of the aircraft.

In reality there could be hundreds of iterations on how an engine is delivered to the customer.

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by travelhound
Fri Dec 28, 2018 10:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders
Replies: 600
Views: 152108

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2018 Orders

I suspect we will find about a few other orders when Boeing releases their 2018 order tally in mid January.

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by travelhound
Mon Dec 24, 2018 9:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Cathay Pacific acquire Hong Kong Airlines?
Replies: 4
Views: 1948

Re: Will Cathay Pacific acquire Hong Kong Airlines?

From a competition perspective you would think this would be discouraged.

I'd suggest cross ownership between China Eastern/Southern and QANTAS would be of more benefit to the Hong Kong economy.

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by travelhound
Mon Dec 24, 2018 9:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ET 787 Wing damage at OSL
Replies: 14
Views: 5442

Re: ET 787 Wing damage at OSL

I just summarized all a,net approved very appropriate comments for such incidents. What an absolute disaster of an airline! Think of all the spare parts they just created. Guess the pilot didn’t follow the fancy shining lights The planes for Ethiopian need some extra warning lights Norwegian light ...

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by travelhound
Sun Dec 23, 2018 5:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm
Replies: 302
Views: 48994

Re: Flightglobal: Airbus A321XLR would have over 100t MTOW, range of 4700 nm

I am right in assuming the XLR will simply be a further optimisation of the LR model? One of my concerns with the previously touted A321+/+ models revolved around them being a long-range sub-model which compromised their efficiency over shorter routes. From what I am reading an XLR could simply end ...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 22, 2018 3:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Airways: reports cash running out
Replies: 1050
Views: 139633

Re: Jet Airways: reports cash running out

At 852 posts I would have expected Jet Airways to have run out of cash by now!

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by travelhound
Fri Dec 21, 2018 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 Production/Delivery Thread - 2018
Replies: 1176
Views: 303638

Re: 787 Production/Delivery Thread - 2018

Looks like just two more deliveries planned this year: LN 528 (787-10 test frame #1 for SIA) and one more Hainan frame, this one under BOC lease. Everything else has been booted into next year. That will give Boeing a total of 145 787 deliveries in 2018, including two test frames built in early 201...

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by travelhound
Wed Dec 19, 2018 12:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines profit sinks 81% on fuel costs, Virgin Australia losses
Replies: 31
Views: 6151

Re: Singapore Airlines profit sinks 81% on fuel costs, Virgin Australia losses

SIA's initial stake in VA was almost gifted to them with a share swap for Tiger Airlines Australia. I think the transaction amounted to approximately $80 million. If I also remember correctly SIA generate approximately 40% of their revenues from the Australian market. Having the ability to fly an A...

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by travelhound
Tue Dec 18, 2018 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines profit sinks 81% on fuel costs, Virgin Australia losses
Replies: 31
Views: 6151

Re: Singapore Airlines profit sinks 81% on fuel costs, Virgin Australia losses

SIA's initial stake in VA was almost gifted to them with a share swap for Tiger Airlines Australia. I think the transaction amounted to approximately $80 million. If I also remember correctly SIA generate approximately 40% of their revenues from the Australian market. Having the ability to fly an Au...

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by travelhound
Tue Dec 18, 2018 11:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines profit sinks 81% on fuel costs, Virgin Australia losses
Replies: 31
Views: 6151

Re: Singapore Airlines profit sinks 81% on fuel costs, Virgin Australia losses

SIA's Australian operations represent a significant part of the entire group. Although VA has been a financial disaster, the strategic long term benefits of owning a significant stake in the airline probably outweighs the short term non-cash profit impacts they are currently experiencing. If the VA ...

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by travelhound
Sun Dec 16, 2018 11:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread 2018
Replies: 499
Views: 91212

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread 2018

With the Australian market growing by 3% pa, on face value QF should be adding 2.25 737's to it fleet every year. Considering QF have lost 4% of the market over the last 3-4 years and 1% of the market typically requires around 3.5 aircraft, QF have (on face value) underinvested in new aircraft. The...

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by travelhound
Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread 2018
Replies: 499
Views: 91212

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread 2018

IMHO B738 replacement to start 2022 at the earliest, 2027 at the latest, so still time to place orders. Gemuser QANTAS domestic has been loosing approximately 2 percent of the market over the last three years. Their share of the market (which includes QANTASlink) is now hovering just below 40%. In ...

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by travelhound
Sun Dec 16, 2018 4:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Fleet Thread 2018
Replies: 499
Views: 91212

Re: Qantas Fleet Thread 2018

With a 738 fleet of 75 will management begin a replacement plan? Maybe the MAX or NEO family? They probably won't start replacing 738s until ~2025. No reason why these aircraft shouldn't keep flying to 25+ years, especially if they keep the cabins looking fresh. IMHO B738 replacement to start 2022 ...

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by travelhound
Fri Dec 14, 2018 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO
Replies: 151
Views: 15797

Re: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO

Of all the wide bodies out there, the A350 is the one that appeals to me the most (as a passenger). I suspect with the 787 competing with the A330NEO on price ($105-135m), the 777 and A350 have a structural cost disadvantage that needs to be overcome. Where boeing may be able to offer the 777X at a ...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 08, 2018 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New 772LR order, owner?
Replies: 39
Views: 10808

Re: New 772LR order, owner?

Leasing one from Qatar or buying one at scrap value from Air India would be cheaper. .......or if a conversion from the passenger model to the freighter requires a conversion fee, the owner (probably a lessor) ordered the 772L to secure the delivery slot with the intention of converting the order t...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 08, 2018 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New 772LR order, owner?
Replies: 39
Views: 10808

Re: New 772LR order, owner?

Leasing one from Qatar or buying one at scrap value from Air India would be cheaper. .......or if a conversion from the passenger model to the freighter requires a conversion fee, the owner (probably a lessor) ordered the 772L to secure the delivery slot with the intention of converting the order t...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 08, 2018 8:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New 772LR order, owner?
Replies: 39
Views: 10808

Re: New 772LR order, owner?

Qantas, to test new long haul routes and provide training for the 777 before the 777X arrives. Leasing one from Qatar or buying one at scrap value from Air India would be cheaper. .......or if a conversion from the passenger model to the freighter requires a conversion fee, the owner (probably a le...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 08, 2018 6:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New 772LR order, owner?
Replies: 39
Views: 10808

Re: New 772LR order, owner?

Qantas, to test new long haul routes and provide training for the 777 before the 777X arrives.

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by travelhound
Mon Dec 03, 2018 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Resale value of 737-700 and A319
Replies: 23
Views: 4884

Re: Resale value of 737-700 and A319

Eventually used part prices will drop until the resale price drops to attract low utilization airlines to go out and buy more used aircraft. (e.g., Allegiant. Delta also flies a sub-fleet low utilization, hence the MD-80s/90s, as does AA and UA. So there is a market, for the right price.) One might...

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by travelhound
Sat Dec 01, 2018 10:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2018
Replies: 320
Views: 45328

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - December 2018

Using used A320's for WA allows for 737's to be redeployed on the east coast. The other alternative for adding capacity would be for VA to buy new 737's.

I suspect VA are just shuffling aircraft around. Until the 737MAX's start arriving VA are going to be capacity neutral.

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by travelhound
Thu Nov 29, 2018 7:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interview with LH CEO: information about future fleet plans (777X, 787, A350)
Replies: 68
Views: 15557

Re: Interview with LH CEO: information about future fleet plans (777X, 787, A350)

So you can only be profitable when flying shiny new planes In the airline industry there is a strong correlation between CAPEX and profitability. You can only play the airline has to be profitable card for so long. An alternative management mindset could revolve around opportunity and ROI. The two ...

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