Search found 1319 matches

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by scotron11
Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 270
Views: 25439

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

My guess of potential 787 orders for delivery in the 2020-2025 period. 10 each - Air Canada 20 each - Air China 10 each - Air Europa 30 each - Air France / KLM 10 each - Air India 30 each - ANA 50 each - American Airlines 10 each - Avianca 20 each - British Airways 20 each - China Eastern 30 each -...

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by scotron11
Sun Sep 17, 2017 10:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block
Replies: 270
Views: 25439

Re: Boeing to accelerate 787 production, increases accounting block

Another scenario is that there is an unwriiten understanding with EK that they will take the 787 with a reduction or big deferral on their 779s. Just my :twocents:

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by scotron11
Wed Sep 13, 2017 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ME3 carriers enter talk about aircraft deferrals
Replies: 31
Views: 5847

Re: ME3 carriers enter talk about aircraft deferrals

https://www.ft.com/content/c8334df6-8da ... 6f43c5825d
-->

It had been predicted that something had to give as their growth could not be sustained.

https://www.ft.com/content/c8334df6-8da ... 6f43c5825d

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by scotron11
Wed Sep 13, 2017 12:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX firms up A321neo order, rejigs A350 order book
Replies: 26
Views: 7487

Re: CX firms up A321neo order, rejigs A350 order book

Wonder what this means for their 777X orders?

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by scotron11
Wed Sep 13, 2017 8:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH to place order for 25 widebodies by end of 2017
Replies: 213
Views: 44589

Re: MH orders 787s

I'm kind of surprised the A330neo did not win. Cheaper to purchase, cheaper to maintain, lots of trained pilots around, lots of spare parts, etc. Good range, good capacity, good economy. What am I missing? Well a new a.net narrative appearing to be forming is that it's a move to get the US Departme...

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by scotron11
Sun Sep 10, 2017 8:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will UA order the B777-9?
Replies: 36
Views: 5705

Re: Will UA order the B777-9?

At first they did not order the B777-300ER. Instead they changed the A350-900 order to A350-1000. Why did they switch back to the A350-900? I suppose the A350-1000 was going to replace the B747-400? Why did the plan change? The A350-1000 is probably more advanced than the B777-300ER. In that case t...

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by scotron11
Fri Sep 08, 2017 9:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37836

Re: Future of 777X

Should the 777X be cancelled now before they cut metal? It's too big and too heavy and there are fewer carriers big enough to order it. At the moment it looks very much like a 747-8i that simply won't sell, but production carries on regardless. How many of those current orders could actually be pai...

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by scotron11
Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 37836

Re: Future of 777X

LH reducing their 779 orders was a mention, not definite. It could happen or it could not. However, we should know more on their intention sometime this month

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by scotron11
Mon Sep 04, 2017 9:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Dubai Air Show Nov 2017. What Major Announcements Do You Expect?
Replies: 96
Views: 11472

Re: The Dubai Air Show Nov 2017. What Major Announcements Do You Expect?

scotron11 wrote:
If any ME3 is going to cancel or defer I would think it more so EY than EK, According to the EY website, they have 62 A350s and 25 777X on order. And they have certainly racked up some big losses recently. Plus right now no replacement for Horton et al



Oops!! Should be HOGAN..........apologies!!

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by scotron11
Mon Sep 04, 2017 9:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Dubai Air Show Nov 2017. What Major Announcements Do You Expect?
Replies: 96
Views: 11472

Re: The Dubai Air Show Nov 2017. What Major Announcements Do You Expect?

If any ME3 is going to cancel or defer I would think it more so EY than EK, According to the EY website, they have 62 A350s and 25 777X on order. And they have certainly racked up some big losses recently. Plus right now no replacement for Horton et al

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by scotron11
Sun Sep 03, 2017 6:04 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: EK going 11 abreast on 777X. Feasibility?
Replies: 28
Views: 4021

Re: EK going 11 abreast on 777X. Feasibility?

EK stated they had no interest in the A380 at 11 abreast, so I see no reason they would then take an 11 abreast 779!

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by scotron11
Sat Sep 02, 2017 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG A350 Orders/Options
Replies: 101
Views: 13225

Re: IAG A350 Orders/Options

richardw wrote:
mig17 wrote:
richardw wrote:
.... BA and they will not go 3-4-3 on A350, only 3-3-3.


We don't know yet, 3-4-3 is not unlikely on an XWB aircraft in Economy.


Their 773ers are all 9 across in Y. Only the LGW 777 fleet will be getting 10 across in Y, so unlikely their 350-1000 will be.

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by scotron11
Fri Sep 01, 2017 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG A350 Orders/Options
Replies: 101
Views: 13225

Re: IAG A350 Orders/Options

And you guys love to talk about commonality, but I guess you forgot BA has like, I don't know, the biggest 777/787 fleet in Europe? Why couldn't they get the 777-9 in 6-8 years to retire the last 747s? Sad that the title on topic is about IAG globally, not BA. Of course BA is, and will doubtless be...

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by scotron11
Thu Aug 31, 2017 10:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG A350 Orders/Options
Replies: 101
Views: 13225

Re: IAG A350 Orders/Options

Although a-net members keep telling us the 779 is perfect for BA, so far IAG is displaying very little interest in them. BA are very conservative on their 744s and 773ers in that their seating is less than 300 in total. Even their A380s only have 469 seats, which is a lot less than the high density...

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by scotron11
Thu Aug 31, 2017 7:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG A350 Orders/Options
Replies: 101
Views: 13225

IAG A350 Orders/Options

On IAGs website, they currently show 43 A350s as future deliveries with 57 options. I know 18 x A350-1000 are for BA, but where are the remaining 25 A350s going? And if their options are firmed, IAG would end up operating a total of 100 x A350s as a group, which would swamp their orders/options on t...

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by scotron11
Thu Aug 17, 2017 6:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX post first half net loss of $262 million
Replies: 30
Views: 5197

Re: CX post first half net loss of $262 million

Even though CX reported a loss, they will not stop getting new aircraft, as quoted by South China Moring Post: In addition to an ongoing ­restructuring drive to stem losses, the airline said it would continue to invest in more new aircraft, add in-flight Wi-fi in long-haul planes and upgrade dining ...

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by scotron11
Thu Aug 10, 2017 12:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tim Clark: Americans are being fed a distorted view of the Open Skies agreement
Replies: 79
Views: 8206

Re: Tim Clark: Americans are being fed a distorted view of the Open Skies agreement

EK is the only ME3 carrier that flies Europe to USA. I really do not see what the big deal is against the ME3....there are no complaints from UK against them...and they operate to more UK airports than BA! (Yes Im aware that QR is a shareholder in IAG) Let's be honest here. I have a choice of all ME...

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by scotron11
Tue Aug 01, 2017 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX introduces A350 to EWR
Replies: 45
Views: 7861

Re: CX introduces A350 to EWR

Polot wrote:
scotron11 wrote:
BTW....can the A359 do EWR-HKG ok?

Obviously, or else CX would not put the plane on the route.


Seeing the rumor that DL wouldn't use it on LAX-SYD...just wondered.

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by scotron11
Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX introduces A350 to EWR
Replies: 45
Views: 7861

Re: CX introduces A350 to EWR

Pretty cool...they did the same with LGW using the A359. Now MAN and TLV too, BTW....can the A359 do EWR-HKG ok?

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by scotron11
Sun Jul 23, 2017 10:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order
Replies: 224
Views: 33108

Re: Leeham: LH shows indications to reduce 779 order

Lufthansa's disclosures from 2013 to 2016 all show 34 FIRM orders for the 777X, plus twenty something options disclosed separately. This does not seem to be an option expiration at all. So there are a few possibilities now: 1) Boeing messed up with their order book (more likely because backlog disc...

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by scotron11
Sun Jul 23, 2017 10:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad submits an offer for full Alitalia takeover
Replies: 83
Views: 19211

Re: Etihad submits an offer for full Alitalia takeover

[quote="B777LRF"]There is currently no way around the 49% ownership rules. The only way Etihad could circumvent that, would be by starting an EU based company, with directors of EU nationality, and prove to the authorities the BoD have full autonomy without interference from Abu Dhabi. Goo...

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by scotron11
Sun Jul 23, 2017 6:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad submits an offer for full Alitalia takeover
Replies: 83
Views: 19211

Re: Etihad submits an offer for full Alitalia takeover

Kinda confusing...article says deadline was 6pm (I assume today) for all interested to submit non-binding offers, then goes on to say they have until Occtober to submit binding offers? What is the difference? Or is that the 6 month timeline on the bridge loan of the 600euros?

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by scotron11
Fri Jul 21, 2017 10:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 24526

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Do a google search on Boeing 787 production costs....some are claiming Boeing will still have production costs exceeding $5Bn even after 2000 frames are produced, Sure...it's all sunk money...but Im scratching my head trying to understand why they are sticking to the 1300 accounting block when they ...

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by scotron11
Thu Jul 20, 2017 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough
Replies: 323
Views: 24526

Re: Leeham: 787 deferred cost not shrinking fast enough

Boeing previously said they needed an average profit of $70M per 787 to break even in the 1300 accounting block IIRC.

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by scotron11
Wed Jul 19, 2017 10:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350 Dead In North America?
Replies: 69
Views: 22457

Re: A350 Dead In North America?

Also, remember that the A350 had a 2 year delay! Was supposed to be ready for delivery in 2015 but Airbus pushed it back. If not for that, who knows if UA or AA would be flying it already!

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by scotron11
Mon Jul 17, 2017 7:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates announces an extensive partnership with Flydubai
Replies: 16
Views: 3756

Re: Emirates announces an extensive partnership with Flydubai

Seeing as they already have MAX8 on order (75 according to WIKI) I guess no need to order more

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by scotron11
Sun Jul 16, 2017 10:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359
Replies: 151
Views: 20454

Re: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359

[\quote] Unless DL moves to the A330/A350 having a single crew (right now I think they are separate at DL) the training benefits between the two are minimal. Who gets placed on the A350 will be dependent on seniority not prior equipment and the training will likely be more rigorous than the theoret...

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by scotron11
Sun Jul 16, 2017 10:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359
Replies: 151
Views: 20454

Re: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359

Look at the weights. Newer engines can't change the laws of physics. I know I am probably going to regret this.....but yeah.....you're correct from what I've seen. The 787-9 is more efficient than the A359 on missions under 6000 nm. At extreme range missions the A359 has the edge. The heavier frame...

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 15, 2017 9:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan Airlines outlines A350 strategy
Replies: 66
Views: 16305

Re: Japan Airlines outlines A350 strategy

So JL will retire its 77Ws before its 763s. You don't see that every day. Lighter planes for longer distances...JL in long haul is very high F and J. Even if Y is reduced to 32-33" from the current 33-34", one is still under 250 seats (current 77Ws have 244 seats). That said, it would mak...

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 15, 2017 6:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359
Replies: 151
Views: 20454

Re: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359

xdlx wrote:
Now that the ink on the transfer of the first A359 to DL how soon do airliners.n anticipates to them switching the 330NEO orders to A359?


May not be any switch, but I feel more A350s will find their way to DL. Going by SQ and CX, they cannot get enough!

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 15, 2017 3:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359
Replies: 151
Views: 20454

Re: How many A330NEO will DL convert to A359

My guess is DL got the A330 Neo sooner than they could have gotten the 787-9, and I would assume a better price? For use on TATL flights I think the A330 Neo would be a very good choice. In the last widebody contest, DL wasn't pitting the 789 against the A330NEO, it was in competition with the A359...

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by scotron11
Wed Jul 12, 2017 7:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Other side of the coin -- EK contributes $21 billion, 104,000 jobs to US economy
Replies: 79
Views: 8695

Re: Other side of the coin -- EK contributes $21 billion, 104,000 jobs to US economy

Cannot get my head around all the ME3 bashing! If anything they contribute more a positive than a negative, not just jobs but to aviation in general. The concern should be if any of them fail, which is a possibility giving what is happening with the situation in Qatar and low oil revenue. If one goe...

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by scotron11
Mon Jul 10, 2017 11:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QR Service to ATL Caused DL to End Doha Service; DL Considers ME/India Return
Replies: 114
Views: 11986

Re: Delta considering a return to the Middle East and India

ME720 wrote:
Who in their right mind will choose DL AA or UA when they can fly The ME3, or LH LX AF BA even with 1 stop! The difference in service between US carriers and the rest (on the ground and in the air) is simply mind blowing!


So maybe they should just up their game...DL cannot be all that bad!

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by scotron11
Mon Jul 10, 2017 9:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QR Service to ATL Caused DL to End Doha Service; DL Considers ME/India Return
Replies: 114
Views: 11986

Re: Delta considering a return to the Middle East and India

DL have the perfect aircraft for India....the A359....instead of saying IF, they should do. Im sure they would do very well there. They seem to have a good enough product and an enormous domestic network to feed into. As to ME, not so much..would rely much more on O&D, even the ME3 are not doing...

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2447
Views: 159255

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

BA has less than 300 total seats on both their 744s and 77Ws. Most recently the swapped 4 789s to 788s, so I do not think the A350-1000 will ever be configured anywhere near 366 seats. As to 10 abreast 777s, only the LGW ones will be configured as such.

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 08, 2017 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 190
Views: 26263

Re: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues

So Qatar Airways still has 30 A320NEO, 16 A321NEO, 20 A359, 37 A351, 2 A388, 10 77W, 10 778, 50 779, 30 789 and 5 77F undelivered on order. That's 210 planes "to come" wile todays fleet is "only" 200 already including all new ones. Considering what is happening for Qatar right n...

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 08, 2017 6:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2447
Views: 159255

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

I surely wouldn't consider BA a lost customer, no. Probably right. BA weren't a 773ER customer before the 787 cock-up and like them a lot. Right now they have 18 A350s coming with 18 options plus 12 787-10s. They have always contended that these orders will replace their 744s...but it's still early...

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by scotron11
Sat Jul 08, 2017 5:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 190
Views: 26263

Re: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues

It's not a straightforward delay tho, is it? These are frames already produced. Same as their cancellation on the NEOs. EK cancelled their A350 order far from any production and "replaced" it with 50 A380s. I do agree that 4 frames will not break Airbus,still, the pure arrogance of QR is s...

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by scotron11
Fri Jul 07, 2017 7:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 190
Views: 26263

Re: Qatar to cancel 4 A350s due to supplier issues

If they are cancelled, how would it effect RR? Whatever agreement QR and RR have, Im sure there are penalties too,

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by scotron11
Fri Jul 07, 2017 6:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar cancels 4 A350s due to supplier issues
Replies: 190
Views: 26263

Re: Qatar to cancel 4 A350s due to supplier issues

Bigger problem for Airbus is that QR is the 1st customer for the A350-1000....and we all know what happened with their 1st A359. I have no idea what agreed delivery schedule QR and Airbus have but they could end up cancelling them too.

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by scotron11
Sun Jul 02, 2017 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 637
Views: 82996

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

I get why Airbus wants to rein in costs. But an A322 is a stopgap....nothing more. You might call it a stopgap. Others might call it a sensible hedge. The future will prove one side right, and I am pretty confident it won't be the one you're on. I remember the same crystal ball predictions about th...

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by scotron11
Fri Jun 30, 2017 5:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing '797' doesn't exist yet. One airline already says it wants it first
Replies: 68
Views: 18418

Re: Boeing '797' doesn't exist yet. One airline already says it wants it first

Surprised seeing as all the carriers that were "suckered" into the 787 that never delivered EIS.

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by scotron11
Mon Jun 26, 2017 5:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model
Replies: 637
Views: 82996

Re: Airbus weighs response if Boeing launches new mid-market model

seahawk wrote:
Still the design core is still from the 1970ies, the materials are old school, the design is old school the aerodynamics are not up to modern standards, the fuselage is not smooth due to the many rivets,....


And the 737-10 is from much earlier!

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by scotron11
Thu Jun 22, 2017 11:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways to buy 10 pc of American Airlines
Replies: 71
Views: 15722

Re: Qatar Airways to buy 10 pc of American Airlines

BA made a filing with the UK CAA for permission to wetlease up to 9 A320s from QR to cover their flight crew strike scheduled for July 2nd. On a purely commercial basis. Just the same as QR are currently flying 4 A350s owned by LATAM. A commercial arrangement, nothing more.

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by scotron11
Thu Jun 22, 2017 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways to buy 10 pc of American Airlines
Replies: 71
Views: 15722

Re: Qatar Airways to buy 10 pc of American Airlines

AA does specifically say that no board seats would be included, and that, as quoted above, AA's position on Gulf carrier government support remains unchanged. That said, I can't help but that think that this would almost certainly lead to Qatar being incorporated into the existing AA-IAG ATI/JV acr...

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by scotron11
Sun Jun 18, 2017 2:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2017 Paris Air Show - Boeing News and Orders
Replies: 411
Views: 87245

Re: 2017 Paris Air Show - Boeing News and Orders

I'd love to see Vistara help boost the 777X program, but I'm very skeptical they can make it work. India may be experiencing a surge in demand and steady growth but going from 14 narrow bodies to 50 VLA is ambitious to say the least. Is this the Paris Air Show, or the all Boeing Air Show? Seems all...

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by scotron11
Fri Jun 16, 2017 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alitalia Files For Bankruptcy
Replies: 376
Views: 86698

Re: Alitalia Files For Bankruptcy

Easyjet have confirmed that they are one of the companies that have expressed interest in AZ. “We can confirm we are interested,” CEO Carolyn McCall told ATW at a media event in Toulouse June 14. She added: “We are not allowed to comment on the process, whatsoever. We have been asked by the governm...

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by scotron11
Thu Jun 15, 2017 8:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Pan Am 747 Retrojet & Farewell Tour?
Replies: 90
Views: 19857

Re: Delta Pan Am 747 Retrojet & Farewell Tour?

Pan Am were the first 747 operator, that is the point here. Exactly, plus Juan Trippe's role in the developement. It has nothing to do with who bought what or when from another airline. It is a tribute to the Queen. Yea, and my 1st 747 flight PA100 JFK-LHR. Still remember the "flapping" w...

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by scotron11
Wed Jun 14, 2017 2:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alitalia Files For Bankruptcy
Replies: 376
Views: 86698

Re: Alitalia Files For Bankruptcy

Not an expert but why is an italian company filing for bankruptcy in the US? Sorry Not a subscriber so I can't read the whole article. Because they have operations in the U.S., the U.S. Bankruptcy Code offers them access to the U.S. courts to deal with their debtors, claims, assets, etc. with respe...

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by scotron11
Sun Jun 11, 2017 12:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering deferrals & grounding aircraft
Replies: 68
Views: 16728

Re: Emirates considering deferrals & grounding aircraft

I don't think having a 777-300 being your smallest plane is helpful either That's it, in my view. It's not as though they missed the boat: they were ON the 787 boat until they decided to hop off it. That's entirely on them. Ahhh....going forward the 779 will then be their smallesst plane, no? Unles...

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