Re: Alaska / Hawaiian Air Merger Discussion

jbs2886 wrote:

VS is a JV with DL. Can’t see them getting “driven out.”

Re: G-VDOT (A350) struck by ground vehicle at JFK

I'm imagining how different the news coverage would have been if this rotation had happened to be flown on a 787-9.

Re: Alaska / Hawaiian Air Merger Discussion

I absolutely cannot imagine AS trying to compete on TATL out of SEA unless either (1) it is as part of a JV or (2) it is to currently unserved vacation-heavy markets. They will get beaten to a pulp if they try to go head-on against the three carriers already flying SEA-LHR or the SkyTeam fortress ro...

Re: Rumour : a350 ahead in IndiGo widebody race

Salmson wrote:

What is going on with A350 in 2024? How can be explained such a surge of interest and the deluge of orders we are witnessing?

Re: Boeing says NO to returning to Seattle

This is a silly discussion, and I say that as a Seattleite. Boeing is not just Renton and Everett; it's also North Charleston and San Antonio and soon Wichita. And to right the ship every one of those locations is going to need to have managers on site paying careful attention to process and more se...

Re: Alaska / Hawaiian Air Merger Discussion

(2) AS has plenty of 737s parked in SEA overnight and elsewhere that could be used for red eyes, it doesn't need to "free" up 737s. Continental US destinations tend to generate much higher yields from day/evening turns than redeye/early morning turns. If a few more 737s could be allowed t...

Re: Washington, DC (BWI / DCA / IAD) Aviation - 2024

Yep, there are RONs from SEA, SFO, and SAN.

Re: Boeing’s Troubles

Striking certainly doesn’t help build trust or reduce antagonism. Labor negotiations are a two way street and we shouldn’t pretend the full onus is on a CEO. Labor needs to show up and be willing to partner, which has never been the case at Boeing. But for a labor/management relationship to work th...

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet - 2024

Does anyone know why there were 3 MAX-9s that flew BFI-OGG yesterday? Charter for the Valve Corporation annual Hawaii trip. So that explains the “aircraft availability problem” (as the F/O put it) that resulted in yesterday’s SEA-AUS being subbed with a -900A and three passengers being denied board...

Re: Alaska / Hawaiian Air Merger Discussion

Maybe eventually. I think the only change with the widebodies at first will be that they'll do some US mainland turns between Hawaii flights to improve utilization. International is another whole nut to crack, beyond 2 mergers in a decade.

Re: HU potentially ordering up to 20 339s

More than 200 A330-200/300s are still used on mainly Chinese domestic routes and the -900 would be a good replacement for many of these on routes where the 787 or A350 are a bit too big or pretentious. Those are funny words for "expensive." The 339 is going to be available dirt cheap, it ...

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

Possibly a silly question, but, has the B788 been brought inline, structurally and production-wise, with the B789/B78X? https://leehamnews.com/2018/04/17/boeing-to-implement-structural-design-change-in-787-8-for-production-commonality/ This is a link from 2018 where this was mentioned. Has it becom...

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

I'm not sure what other alternatives they'll have. The 753s can't live on forever and there is no suitable replacement in development at the moment. You're talking 10 years out if they started today. At this point the most reasonable plan is to fly them into the early 2030s, and then replace them w...

Re: Delta Air Lines Fleet - 2024

n515cr wrote:

76Z 184 (yes, a 76Z) arrived at CWF today for IFC

Re: A220 in Europe’s Airlines strategy

I don't understand what incentive Airbus has to launch an A225 any time in the near future when both the 223 and 320N backlogs are as long as they are. It's not like Boeing is going to launch something that's going to shave 8% off the fuel burn of the 8 MAX, which is what it would take to decisively...

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet - 2024

Got it, thanks. I'm eager for more MAX 8s to arrive so we can get one out of DCA every once in awhile hopefully - patiently waiting for the 800s to get refurbed too! Really really can't wait for big bins on DCA flights. They are always packed full, the passengers are as self-important as you'd expe...

Re: Fate of Condor 757-300s?

FI barely uses the 757's that they have. They are either parked or have very low utilization rates. The two existing 753s are each flying one ~6-hour rotation between Iceland and continental Europe daily. They used to fly in a scissor pattern with roughly double that level of utilization alternatin...

Re: Fate of Condor 757-300s?

Utilization of UA's current 753 fleet appears similar to the rest of the large narrowbodies. Most of the flights are 3-5 hours and they are doing 2-4 of those flights a day. Despite the fleet's age they are not being used as flex capacity but as a core part of the network. I expect the real cost pro...

Fate of Condor 757-300s?

Condor currently has a fleet of 11 RR-powered 757-300s, two of which appear to be permanently withdrawn from service, and the other nine of which will be withdrawn after either the 2024 or 2025 summer seasons. They previously flew four others, two of which are stored and two of which have gone to CI...

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

With Airbus deep in development of the "Wing of Tomorrow", the ideal platform might be the long-rumored A322, which would be about a four-row stretch over the A321. That would get to the ~220-seat level and with tankage derived from the XLR would approximate 753 range. Airbus is not going...

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

On the 753... I agree it may not be economical to acquire real-world used frames at this point in the aircraft lifecycle. But the aircraft still plays a vital role on hub-hub and large spoke flights in the main banks, and if anything it looks to me like more could fit into the network on those missi...

Re: Philippine to launch Manila to Seattle

This isn't new capacity for HU - they are reducing PEK to 2x weekly to start this CKG service 1x weekly.

Re: Washington, DC (BWI / DCA / IAD) Aviation - 2024

DL might opportunistically add a few hub flights to BWI around the edges to the extent the Washington/Baltimore markets grow, but it’s very hard to imagine anything more than that making economic sense. BWI is exactly the sort of place that caters to WN’s strengths and the traditional legacies’ weak...

Re: Are we finally approaching the time for an 787F?

Proposed by whom? Given the 787-3 was dropped because over anything other than the very shortest routes, the -8 was more efficient, I can’t see its wing being used for any freighter version of the 787. It would be interesting to see an analysis of the two wings in (1) the UPS and FedEx 767/A300 rep...

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

Reamer, you seem to have insight information on the activity at CHS. I don't want to pressure you and I'm not too sure about Boeing South Carolina's reaction to this but it would be great to have some blog on the activity of aircraft movement at CHS similar to Cawby's blog at PAE. This is of course...

Re: Philippine to launch Manila to Seattle

Demand won't be a problem at all. Yields… we'll see.

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

Reamer wrote:

3. 1152 has a delivery date coming up.

Re: Are we finally approaching the time for an 787F?

They have their hands full at the moment just filling passenger 787 demand. Every year with 60+ passenger 787 orders pushes the possible timeline for a freighter a year to the right, regardless of the merits of the 787 freighter. With that said, the market positioning of the 787 makes a freighter di...

Re: Airbus A330 and A340 Movements / Write-Off / Retirements / Scrapping - 2024

PY last week had a real Airbus fest. 'Lease' Wamos A333 EC-NTX for PBM - AMS was directly followed by 'return to lessor' A343 PZ-TCW https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/ec-ntx#3482ee27 https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/pz-tcw#3482f1cc Also PY has also wetleased two A332's from Mal...

Re: Delta Air Lines Fleet - 2024

I don’t think DL would buy pre-Sky Interior 739ERs.

There are not many operators of later 739ERs and all of them except Lion seem like operators who need the lift. I think it might actually be easier to add capacity of this nature with used A321ceos.

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

Anything a 764 can do, a 788 can do better. Anything a 77L can do that involves UA’s network, a 789 can do much cheaper. We all know that most of the potential 748 customers spurned it for the 77W. The out-of-production aircraft that really isn’t replaceable yet is the 753, and I bet that if UA coul...

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

YYZORD wrote:

Any update on AC's sole 789 on order?

Re: Emirates A350 9 or 10 abreast in economy?

10Y A350 is usually 16.5”, comparable to 9Y A330 or 8Y 767. I would bet strongly against Emirates going there.

Re: Reports EK A6-EDM damaged on ground in DME

Given the number of EK A380s still in storage, I suspect the insurer’s appetite for financial outlay to get this older-build frame out of trouble is limited. If it can be ferried with temporary repairs, it will be. If not, I wouldn’t be shocked to see it broken up on site, with EK carrying engines a...

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

Looking at Boeing's Orders and Deliveries site, Air Europa only has 2 unfilled orders for 787-9 (which would correspond to LNs 1028 and 1042), leaving the remaining 3 (LNs 1090, 1110 & 1120) ntus it seems. 1042 and 1090 are for lessors, so wouldn't appear in Air Europa's order total, but that d...

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

I'm starting to think that LN1106 and LN1116 will indeed end up with TAAG and not Royal Air Maroc per the previous posts on this thread. If RAM is indeed the customer for the WestJets, perhaps TAAG is the customer for the TUI and the Mongolian. Or the other way around. As with all reallocations lat...

Re: Boeing 787 Production / Deliveries - 2024

Still astonished by how effectively Boeing is keeping the information drum sealed at the moment. So I'm going to try to assemble the few fluttering rumors. We have the following groups of aircraft in the rework process with uncertain customers: 787-8 787-8RR ZA863 1015 ALC, originally for Scoot 787-...

Re: A350 backlog shifting towards A350-1000/F

Yep, this is bound to happen. The A350-900 is competing almost head-on with (and, frankly, getting outcompeted by) the 787-9 and sometimes the -10. But Boeing does not have a good answer for the A350-1000 at the moment and is not going to in the foreseeable future. Meanwhile, the A350F is looking in...

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

You still are not getting it. That fuel is not unneeded and WILL still be burned either way despite the magic (paper) weight savings of moving bags from the hold to bins because the actual weight has not changed. Now you are simply making false assumptions about weight at the gate and then also sub...

Re: Alaska / Hawaiian Air Merger Discussion

A merged entity can use this currently open capacity... N382HA could do a PDX-ANC turn, or any number of other things. No, not every turn or circumstance will allow this, but considering AS/HA's strong overlap in many key western cities, think SEA/PDX/LAS/SFO/SMF/OAK/LAX/SAN etc, the merger creates...

Re: AS to acquire HA; operate as separate brand.

vhtje wrote:

“American Airlines” is much more likely.

Re: Alaska / Hawaiian Air Merger Discussion

Alaska isn't going to get economies of scale in A321s and 717s. It certainly will by selling the A321s off, eventually sending the 717s to the boneyard, and replacing all of them with more already-ordered, dirt-cheap MAXes that can be scheduled in a more optimal way with a bigger network. On the na...

Re: Boeing 767 Freighter Production / Deliveries - 2024

That's an amazing production run for the 300F Especially when you consider that a substantial portion of the 767-200, -200ER, and -300ER fleets have also been converted to freighters. The 767 was pathbreaking as a midsize passenger jet but was ultimately outclassed by the A330. As a commercial frei...

Re: Boeing 767 Freighter Production / Deliveries - 2024

1330 767s built to date, breaking down as follows:

128 767-200
121 767-200ER (note: this group includes KC-767s produced for foreign military use)
104 767-300
583 767-300ER
38 767-400ER
253 767-300F
103 767-2C/KC-46

Re: 747-8i Combi orders

A lot of folks in this thread are not remembering what things were like during the period in the late aughts when Boeing's 747-8 sales efforts were at their peak. At first everything seemed so hopeful - LH launched the aircraft with a big order, quickly followed up by KE and CA, and it seemed like t...

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

That's news to me. My impression was that the seven six had only a cycle and not an hour limit. I of course could be wrong. Huh, you may be right. I could have sworn the 767 had a 150k hours LOV, but I can't find the evidence. You're right about the default LOV in the current regulations not specif...

Re: Delta Air Lines Fleet - 2024

What a great livery. A flattering angle, too... gives us more of the gorgeous A350 wing and less of the nose, which is the A350's least pleasing feature.

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

This is fascinating. Which ships are this close? Because it has only been in the last couple of years that the original Delta 767s approached their LOV, meaning 767-200s like N101DA, line number 6, which later became a freighter at ABX Air (N740AX). I had no idea that DL was getting the 767-300s an...

Re: United Airlines Fleet Discussion - 2024

Pontius wrote:

N641UA flying again.

Re: Korean may order around 20 a350s

Imho Boeing gave Emirates too much control of the design specifications. Just like they did for Southwest with the 737. Fine, other carriers can find other planes that meet their needs better than a plane spec'd out for Emirates. I don't think Boeing had much of an option. The 777 has a heavier str...