Search found 501 matches

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by texl1649
Tue Nov 21, 2017 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Delta like their A350 so far?
Replies: 32
Views: 9965

Re: How does Delta like their A350 so far?

Must be good. ATL-ICN is scheduled. DTW fans will say this is the end of DTW as the 359 will end up in ATL, LAX, MSP, & SEA and DTW will get the Ford Pintos of the fleet. Given the state of Detroit and it’s environs nowadays, that’s probably a bit logical. It’s not really a healthy/growing metr...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 15, 2017 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Narrowbody order bubble?
Replies: 29
Views: 3576

Re: Narrowbody order bubble?

How many LCC carriers can accurately predict their massive growth rates in 7 years? None.

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by texl1649
Tue Nov 14, 2017 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA adding DFW-KEF
Replies: 169
Views: 17349

Re: AA adding DFW-KEF

I assume some good connections to Europe will be possible. London/Paris for like $120-150 round trip, right? Is this just AA trying to push WOW out of DFW (and SFO I suppose)?

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 10:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai Air Show 2017 - Boeing Orders
Replies: 188
Views: 52986

Re: Dubai Air Show 2017 - Boeing Orders

keesje wrote:
Any upcoming 777-9 orders ?

Image


Maybe Saudia? I guess the 777-9 is really struggling in the middle east?

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 9:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100166

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

The news of the day at Dubai, clearly, is the image Boeing shared of the 77x cockpit, which includes a selector switch for wing tips up or down. This is, of course, the same cockpit from the 767 which was grafted onto the 777, right? Right?

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 4:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380
Replies: 768
Views: 98020

Re: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380

This board loves to critizize Boeing over accounting practices, including carrying paper losses forward many years, and using cash flow to buy back shares, but it seems it's Airbus shareholders who probably wish they had at least a portion of Boeing's cash flow generating capacity.

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2549
Views: 186719

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

^^^Great zoom shot there. Thanks. I wonder if there is something that extends the tips automatically once the throttles are pushed forward or if there is anything preventing the AC from taking off with them folded? The AvWeek article (which can be read after free email registration) says that the a...

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 13, 2017 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380
Replies: 768
Views: 98020

Re: Airbus Working With Emirates on New Order for Flagship A380

Like I said a few months ago, it's part of negotiations. Because they want to seal the deal now at the airshow everything is in the pressure cooker and more under the magnifying glass right now: Indeed the airshow adds pressure to close the deal. The rulers of Dubai would have liked to have had a n...

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by texl1649
Fri Nov 10, 2017 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Lockheed Martin Get Back in the Commerical Aviation Biz?
Replies: 16
Views: 3879

Re: Will Lockheed Martin Get Back in the Commerical Aviation Biz?

Their box wing concept was interesting/pretty, but also problematic. There would be massive forces (torsional/twisting etc) in such a design at different speeds from the tail/engine/upper wing box etc. Their real challenge would essentially be 'what could we possibly build that we would be highly co...

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by texl1649
Fri Nov 10, 2017 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Lockheed Martin Get Back in the Commerical Aviation Biz?
Replies: 16
Views: 3879

Re: Lockheed Martin Back in Commerical Aviation Biz

You would think the tri-star scars would fade over time. Lockheed has steadily refused interest in that though (outside of Sikorsky/C-130's etc). They certainly no longer have any marketing/airline contacts, and it's inconceivable that a civil conversion of any C-5/C-17 replacement would be simply c...

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by texl1649
Tue Nov 07, 2017 9:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Analyst predicts Airbus will eventually terminate CSeries program
Replies: 156
Views: 21169

Re: Analyst predicts Airbus will eventually terminate CSeries program

Differences: the DC9 was old, and a pure orphan with one derivative. Frankly, the engine wasn't cutting edge either, by the time Boeing got it into the sales line up. labor relationships, niche below the related Airbus portfolio (717/DC9 was obviously a competitor), unproven, zero installed base (co...

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by texl1649
Thu Oct 26, 2017 12:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100166

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Is there any chance Hawaiian is the airline in question? They wouldn’t need that many but are obviously considering 358 alternatives.

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by texl1649
Tue Oct 24, 2017 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus seeks to cut repayments to government from controversial 'launch investment' for new jets
Replies: 101
Views: 7112

Re: Airbus seeks to cut repayments to government from controversial 'launch investment' for new jets

I guess they are figuring out the cash flow to "invest" into the C-series in a year. By decreasing their own "government investment" subsidy repayments. Haha.

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 23, 2017 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100166

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

If it gets a new engine, could it possibly be the new ge (or cfm?) engine for the 797 rather than the genx?

That would really be interesting as it seems the design must be in advanced stages and would warrant attention from fedex and usaf of course down the line too.

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 23, 2017 2:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100166

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Actually I had noticed many months ago that some of the US majors seemed to have halted their programs to retire their 767s, especially. Which seemed puzzling, as these frames looked likely to be a pain-in-the-butt for their operators due to declining serviceability well before 2025 came around. Fo...

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by texl1649
Sat Oct 21, 2017 11:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100166

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

If they adapted the engines from the 747-8, has been suggested earlier in the thread, what would the engine change alone be worth in terms of increasing fuel efficiency? 6-8 percent. Not a big deal to low frequency or short haul carriers, but interesting if looking at 2-4 years of sales or if you’r...

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by texl1649
Fri Oct 20, 2017 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production
Replies: 695
Views: 100166

Re: Boeing may consider restarting 767 pax model production

Replacement of cf6 with genx was done pretty easily for the 748 so the pylon and engineering work to Boeing controls/interfaces can’t be that hard. Three years seems like the timeframe and ge would love to then snag the future freighter and tanker orders once it’s built. The partnership could also h...

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by texl1649
Wed Oct 18, 2017 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future CSeries Orders (Post Airbus-Bombardier deal)
Replies: 189
Views: 22018

Re: Future CSeries Orders (Post Airbus-Bombardier deal)

No one has been ordering aircraft in this size range, whether it's EMB, BBD, Airbus or Boeing. I don't see how this helps sell this particular aircraft, and no they won't redesign a cockpit right after getting it certified. There's not going to be a common type rating with an A320 series for the C-s...

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by texl1649
Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Potential of a Boeing+Embraer j/v?
Replies: 37
Views: 4496

Re: Potential of a Boeing+Embraer j/v?

This is basically not possible. 2 reasons; 1. EMB and Boeing have totally different design philosophies and corporate cultures. There's nothing to suggest this is changing, or that the complex web of Brazilian government/taxes/labor rules would appeal to Boeing from a joint venture relationship. 2. ...

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by texl1649
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1557
Views: 115479

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

So Boeing eliminated a competitor, and likely the greater threat altogether (cs500), while trump gets a win by bringing production to Alabama. Never has a trade dispute ended so quickly to the advantage of the complainant. The Canadian and Euro taxpayers subsidize a delta purchase, even more. I don’...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 15777

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

CSeries makes a lot of sense for Airbus, kill A319, develop CS500 and target rewinged A322 firmly in the NMA space. Two narrow-bodies and two wide-bodies sound like a nice line-up. Make the CS-series cockpit like the others in the family, especially the A320 series and you have the flexibility up f...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 15777

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

No deal imminent: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bombardier-airbus/bombardier-pursues-options-for-aerospace-division-no-deal-imminent-sources-idUSKBN1CL21J As part of that process, the Canadian train-and-plane maker has held informal talks with Chinese companies among others in recent months, bu...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 15777

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

It sounds like the province won't agree to the Chinese terms, to me, and Bombardier management realizes they'll never make money at this thing now, with no means to shutter it or provide/get the funding for the must have CS500 variant. They're finishing the year with zero chance of US sales in the n...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 16, 2017 10:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will WN go with the bigger 737s?
Replies: 54
Views: 5672

Re: Will WN go with the bigger 737s?

The main issue for them would be additional flight attendants. For some reason, southwest prefers to “keep it simple” in this area. They would have no trouble with filling many -10 max but the staffing (and ensuing boarding group changes I guess) might be a real drawback.

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by texl1649
Sun Oct 15, 2017 10:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to take delivery of 1st 787-9 this Tuesday (17 Oct), next route for 787-9 may be announced this week
Replies: 158
Views: 18576

Re: Qantas to take delivery of 1st 787-9 this Tuesday (17 Oct), next route for 787-9 may be announced this week

Per ostrower on Twitter: Qantas CEO Alan Joyce says two 787-9s carry the same number of passengers as an A380, but two 787 flights are “a bit cheaper” than one A380. Hmmmm... Digging in a bit deeper: ⋅ 787 x 2: 00F + 84J + 56W + 332Y = 472 pax ⋅ A380: 14F + 64J + 35W + 371Y = 48...

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by texl1649
Sun Oct 15, 2017 7:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas to take delivery of 1st 787-9 this Tuesday (17 Oct), next route for 787-9 may be announced this week
Replies: 158
Views: 18576

Re: Qantas to take delivery of 1st 787-9 this Tuesday (17 Oct), next route for 787-9 may be announced this week

Per ostrower on Twitter:

Qantas CEO Alan Joyce says two 787-9s carry the same number of passengers as an A380, but two 787 flights are “a bit cheaper” than one A380.

Hmmmm...

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by texl1649
Sat Oct 14, 2017 4:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 512
Views: 67439

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

It is interesting and obviously the trend, but we can almost be certain Boeing won't launch a new model dependant on a new Pratt engine. [url]The Aurora D8, however, is now a design to which Boeing owns the IP rights[/url]. Though this aircraft certainly isn't going to simply be enlarged/produced, I...

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by texl1649
Wed Oct 11, 2017 6:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 29933

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

At least Delta's C-series aren't grounded like Air baltic's. This aircraft, if ever delivered to DL, will wind up coming after about 2022, at the earliest. Delta has an enormous number of elderly aircraft they need to replace, and I doubt they just elect to wait/hope for an extra 4 years.

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by texl1649
Fri Oct 06, 2017 8:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1112
Views: 46448

Re: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier

Again, the dumping deposit rate is based on the petition rate. Bombardier refused to answer Commerce's questions. So, Commerce found that the only margin on record is the margin that the Petitioner proposed. Really? BBD and others gave more than enough testimony at various hearings in this laughabl...

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by texl1649
Fri Oct 06, 2017 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1112
Views: 46448

Re: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier

The conspiracy theories here are pretty amazing. Meanwhile, 99 percent of Americans neither know nor even care what the capital of Canada is, let alone the trade deficit. Only tangentially related to this topic, but this article from a few weeks ago is kind of fascinating, on the Arrow. It was a pre...

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by texl1649
Fri Oct 06, 2017 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest passenger forcibly removed from flight with pet allergy
Replies: 195
Views: 13885

Re: Woman dragged of SWA flight was pregnant

Former Dr dao also behaved ridiculously. If a pilot or officer of the law asks you to do something like get off the plane, just do it, rather than throw a hysterical fit. I hope the airlines start fighting these as much as possible in the courts. She seems like anything but a victim to me, from what...

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by texl1649
Wed Oct 04, 2017 8:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA's Kirby Explains why UA order 737-10MAX
Replies: 74
Views: 14237

Re: UA's Kirby Explains why UA order 737-10MAX

I don't thiink Delta would play this game. They would want the best price period for their A321s and could care less what clause AA had with Airbus. Ironically, AA's 'most favored nation' status with Boeing was cited as a reason Airbus was able to snag AA in 2011. AA's 1996 20-year exclusive suppli...

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by texl1649
Wed Oct 04, 2017 8:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways to place A330s, 787s at Meridiana
Replies: 15
Views: 6386

Re: Qatar Airways to place A330s, 787s at Meridiana

Whenever I see something like "massively grow" a niche tiny player into a major international airline I get pretty skeptical. Provided enough subsidies/infrastructure/cash it can happen (EK), but it sure isn't likely to be "cash flow positive" (I realize that's a hotly contested ...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 02, 2017 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1112
Views: 46448

Re: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier

I do wish this could be analyzed from a business perspective more. Today, Bombardier is on the brink of being unable to launch the CS500 or book more orders for the current models (at least domestically) for...some time. This complaint process, as a business maneuver, not as a moral argument, allows...

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by texl1649
Fri Sep 29, 2017 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 512
Views: 67439

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Leehamnews article on the faith of the AA A350 order has some interesting side info on Boeing's pitch to the airline for the 767-300ER replacements. https://leehamnews.com/2017/09/28/american-wants-decide-a350-fate-within-six-months/ "Boeing is pitching a re-order of the 787-8 and the New Midr...

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by texl1649
Fri Sep 29, 2017 5:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest passenger forcibly removed from flight with pet allergy
Replies: 195
Views: 13885

Re: Southwest passenger forcibly removed from flight with pet allergy

So, she is a professor of islamic studies who has taught her students about Talibanization, was unable to document her life threatening dog allergies, demanded dogs (and passengers) be removed so she could safely proceed with her greater self important trip/visit with her father entering surgery, r...

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by texl1649
Thu Sep 28, 2017 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 29933

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

Would it be technically and financially viable for bbd to truck in green frames minus the engine to witchita or Atlanta and bolt the engines and cabin furnishing there to make the cseries American.? Sure. Textron folks in Wichita could assemble CS100's. Or Spirit Aerosystems. I for one would cheer ...

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by texl1649
Thu Sep 28, 2017 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest passenger forcibly removed from flight with pet allergy
Replies: 195
Views: 13885

Re: Southwest passenger forcibly removed from flight with pet allergy

So, she is a professor of islamic studies who has taught her students about Talibanization, was unable to document her life threatening dog allergies, demanded dogs (and passengers) be removed so she could safely proceed with her greater self important trip/visit with her father entering surgery, re...

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by texl1649
Wed Sep 27, 2017 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 29933

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

Another thing I'd point out; Delta doesn't just order planes for delivery years before they're absolutely needed. They order planes when there is no amount of welding/duct tape that can keep a DC-9 in one piece. They order fleets of used planes when the bank is desperate to unload them sometimes, bu...

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by texl1649
Wed Sep 27, 2017 6:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 29933

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

DL is the big loser in all of this. RA made the bed when he swore he wouldn't order Boeing vs. Airbus unless Airbus was more than 15% higher or some such garbage. Now they're stuck with one supplier, essentially, and a vindictive former supplier on the other hand. Plus, they have a comparatively an...

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by texl1649
Wed Sep 27, 2017 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta: C-Series What's Next
Replies: 246
Views: 29933

Re: Delta: C-Series What's Next

DL is the big loser in all of this. RA made the bed when he swore he wouldn't order Boeing vs. Airbus unless Airbus was more than 15% higher or some such garbage. Now they're stuck with one supplier, essentially, and a vindictive former supplier on the other hand. Plus, they have a comparatively anc...

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by texl1649
Wed Sep 27, 2017 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S. Dept of Commerce backs Boeing in dispute with Bombardier
Replies: 1112
Views: 46448

Re: Boeing targets Bombardier for “price dumping” CSeries

Very good news. Some lines need to be drawn relative to subsidies. The entangled quasi-government owned C-series production/subsidiary deal is ridiculous. And they can't even produce the frames they promise to even still. Canada, of all places, isn't about to go into a trade war with the US over thi...

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by texl1649
Tue Sep 26, 2017 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 512
Views: 67439

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Conformal fuel tank concepts (similar to F-16 and F-15) would seem to be possible for a modern CFRP frame without, necessarily, changing the wing box or wings themselves. Particularly for an ovoid design, this would be true. Of course, different MLG configurations might be needed (and/or folding tip...

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by texl1649
Tue Sep 26, 2017 12:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans
Replies: 512
Views: 67439

Re: Boeing officially forms program office to flesh out 797 plans

Of course, it should be pointed out that the "inefficient" 762 is still rolling off the line 40 years later (in military guise), having never been re-engined even.

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by texl1649
Mon Sep 18, 2017 7:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Future Expansion
Replies: 434
Views: 43144

Re: DL Future Expansion

Thanks. When I look at Delta investor presentations I see nothing really focused on revenue growth, it's all about cost/profit/balance sheet performance. There's very little long term focus on the international network at all, relative to the market overall, which seems problematic.

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by texl1649
Mon Sep 18, 2017 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Future Expansion
Replies: 434
Views: 43144

Re: DL Future Expansion

I have a question; with all of the 744's that NWA used to operate transpac, what has become of that network today? Will their largest aircraft (in 10 years or so) ultimately be the A350-1000? I've read that by the end of 2018 to early 2019 all TransPac service will shift to 777/359. Delta wants to c...

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by texl1649
Thu Sep 14, 2017 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential
Replies: 252
Views: 31719

Re: AA 777-200ER replacement, A350 , 787-9 order potential

Why would rolls agree to either option?

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by texl1649
Mon Sep 11, 2017 5:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 38909

Re: Future of 777X

Customers are going to dig watching the unfolding wings through those large windows and then the rumble of those huge engines as the plane sets up for take-off. I think we will see some buzz about that. Don't know if that is enough of an experience differentiator for customers to really boost fligh...

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by texl1649
Fri Sep 08, 2017 6:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 38909

Re: Future of 777X

Not really true. The much discussed [url]777-10X would, for instance at SQ[/url], https://leehamnews.com/2017/02/16/singapore-777-9-order-pressures-not-kill-a380/ seat about the same number as their A380's (420 or so). Could you please educate me about your claim, and that it is an apples:apples co...

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by texl1649
Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of 777X
Replies: 395
Views: 38909

Re: Future of 777X

The 777-9 will be the A380 replacement as well as most remaining 747. The 777-8 will be hugely popular for opening new ULR routes. In combination with the 787 it will give Boeing a big lead in the twinaisle market. I really do not understand the lack of faith into Boeing's design team. I really do ...

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